BEARINGA

The instrument that asks the marginal question.

Engine · Live
Corpus · since March 2024

The marginal question is the one that changes the decision — which configurations are transmitting through your named position right now, what they mean at your operating altitude, and what the resolved historical precedent says about where positions like yours land. Bearing asks this question continuously, with trace to source on every claim. Not a forecast. A measurement.

Your portfolio, your sector, your business — all of them running inside compound configurations transmitting at a speed the analytical infrastructure most institutions rely on was not built to read. The 2026 ECB thematic stress test names this directly for banks. The reinsurer, the corporate treasurer, the allocator, the hedge fund PM feel the same structural pressure from a different angle.

Bloomberg sells data. FactSet sells analytics. Risk platforms sell exposure. None sells the substrate — the standing measurement infrastructure that reads where your named position stands against the active configurations, in the language your diligence team operates in, with the cannot-be-wrong commitment enforced as a structural property of the engine. That is the category Bearing operates in. The category did not exist in productised form before Bearing was built.

00 /
THESIS
Not a research service. Not a data provider.
Not a risk platform.
One engine. One invariant move.
ONE INSTRUMENT · ONE INVARIANT MOVE
POSITION-AGAINST-CONFIGURATION
DETECTION
BearingA built Bearing. Underneath every deployment, Bearing performs one invariant move: read the structural position against the active named compound configurations, surface the directional outcome at that altitude, ground it in the cascade transmission mechanism and the resolved historical precedent. Every position. Every substrate. Every read.
Configurations
Bearing tracks
Hormuz CompoundGeopolitical pressure on the Strait of Hormuz transmitting through energy prices into sovereign spreads, corporate credit, and EUR-correlated trading books.
Sovereign–Bank NexusSovereign credit stress feeding back into domestic banking sectors through the diabolic loop — bank capital absorbs sovereign mark, lending capacity contracts, sovereign refinancing pressure builds.
Energy InfrastructurePhysical and regulatory pressure on European energy infrastructure transmitting through supply chains, input costs, and the embedded feedstock exposure of industrial and chemical positions.
Iran–Russia–TaiwanCross-compound geopolitical configuration reading three simultaneous pressure points — each with independent transmission pathways that compose against the same institutional position.
European Credit CascadeCredit spread widening transmitting through European corporate and sovereign positions as the compound configuration's mechanism runs through both the customer cascade and the market microstructure cascade.
Climate ConcentrationClimate-correlated concentration risk transmitting through reinsurance books, agricultural operating positions, and the insurance liabilities of climate-exposed counterparties.
GATEFIVE ROUTES

What are you trying to solve for?

3 active now
3 on the roadmap
subsequent quarters
01 / Active

Supervisor-defensible geopolitical scenarios for ICAAP

Banks under SSM, FINMA, and equivalent national-competent-authority supervision facing the 2026 ECB thematic stress test or equivalent requirement. The composition lands in the supervisor's grammar by default.

Open
02 / Active

Compound exposure on a named portfolio

Institutional readers with a portfolio they are concerned about and no specific regulatory framing for it. Cross-substrate configurations, both transmission pairs, the read against your named exposure surface.

Open
03 / Active

Pre-position validation for acquisition or investment decisions

VC and PE investment partners, allocators, and corporate development teams evaluating a named target. Six compound configurations read across the hold horizon at IC-pack grade. Structural-exposure validation the diligence framework does not natively produce.

Open
On the
roadmap
Early-cohort placement open for each — entering as a substrate-extension partner shapes the vertical's corpus composition.
Reinsurance and underwriting book Climate-correlated concentration against 150 years of resolved precedent in the instrumental record. Early-cohort placement
COGS and input cost exposure Manufacturing, chemicals, food and agriculture — compound configuration sitting on the gross margin line. Early-cohort placement
Hedge fund single-strategy surveillance Continuous read on configurations entering against named positions in a single-strategy book. Early-cohort placement
ARCHSURFACES

The Engine

Bearing — the deployed product running continuously against a named institutional position. /bearing

The Method

The Predictive History Method, built since March 2024. Surfaced at /method for the technical buyer.

The Company

BearingA — institutional research practice. Contracts, invoices, owns the methodology. /about

The Record

/record — empirical defensibility substrate independently findable for diligence. /record